xJawn NHL expected goals

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VAN Tyler Myers

D · career · 16 seasons · value in goals above league average per 60 minutes of ice

GAA/60 by season

How to read this chart

One point per season: GAA/60, the accounting sum of that season's 5v5 value — chances created (Off xG-RAPM) + chances suppressed (Def xG-RAPM) + finishing above expectation — in goals above league average per 60 minutes of 5v5, power-play and penalty-kill ice. The players table shows the same accounting as a season total, which keeps ice time inside the number; this page divides it out, because comparing a player to himself across seasons should not be driven by how long each season was. The chart opens on the 3-season weighted average: each point is the ice-time-weighted average of the player's GAA/60 over that season and the two before it. A single season of RAPM is noisy (year-over-year correlation ≈ 0.5, the defensive half worse), so the smoothed line is the honest read — it answers "is this level real?" rather than "what did one 1,000-minute sample say?". The Single season toggle shows the raw per-season number instead, swings and all.

The grey bands are the league that same season, in the same view: the brighter fill is the middle half of skaters (25th–75th percentile), the faint fill the 5th–95th, the dashed line the league median — all over skaters with at least 300 minutes of 5v5 ice time (window-summed in the 3-season view). Where a point sits inside the bands is its percentile; the label above it makes it exact. Hollow points fall under the floor — they draw (the line is the career) but get no rank.

The vertical axis is GAA/60 — a linear goals-above-league-average scale, so heights add up. It opens on just the orange net line over the bands. Click Off / Def / Fin in the legend to stack that piece in: chances created and finishing (when positive) fill up from the dotted zero line, chances against fill down when a player is bleeding them, and the net line is their sum. Toggle each one independently — the line says how good, the stack says where the value came from.

Season by season

SeasonTeamTOIOffDefFinGAA/60GAA (goals)Percentile
2025-26VAN1,272 -0.12+0.01-0.02 -0.17-4.1 28th
2024-25VAN1,212 +0.00+0.10-0.02 -0.09-2.0 41st
2023-24VAN1,412 -0.00-0.00-0.02 -0.20-5.5 24th
2022-23VAN1,399 -0.20+0.06-0.02 -0.32-8.4 11th
2021-22VAN1,503 +0.01-0.01-0.02 -0.12-3.4 30th
2020-21VAN928 -0.03-0.12-0.02 -0.29-5.6 2nd
2019-20VAN1,329 +0.03-0.08-0.02 -0.20-5.0 12th
2018-19WPG1,396 +0.04-0.04-0.02 -0.15-4.2 15th
2017-18WPG1,561 -0.01-0.05-0.02 -0.14-4.8 20th
2016-17WPG184 -0.01+0.03-0.02 -0.09-0.4
2015-16WPG1,245 -0.07+0.01-0.02 -0.17-4.3 13th
2014-15BUF1,335 -0.08-0.07-0.01 -0.25-7.1 5th
2013-14BUF991 -0.07+0.02-0.01 -0.17-3.7 24th
2012-13BUF602 -0.07+0.04-0.01 -0.19-2.5 18th
2011-12BUF930 -0.01-0.08-0.01 -0.17-3.4 11th
2010-11BUF1,373 +0.08+0.02-0.01 +0.02+0.6 62nd

The table is always the raw single-season record — the ledger the 3-season line smooths. TOI is 5v5 minutes. GAA (goals) is the rate × that season's ice time — the season's total value in goals. Percentile is against that season's qualified skaters, single season.

GAA/60 comes from value artifact value__f4dc1877 (accounting layer, docs/player-value.md): single-season xG-RAPM plus the modeled finishing rating over the player's own 5v5 ice time; the 3-season view is the trailing ice-time-weighted average of those. It is a separate surface from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.